Eat Pray Love
Written by Jeff Thredgold, President, Thredgold Economic Associates
One of the painful realities of life as an economist and professional speaker is
that the subject matter of economics is typically viewed (with good reason!) by
the general public as confusing, intimidating, and boring. As a result,
trying to present weekly economic and financial information with an unusual
twist can occasionally be a most welcome change.
Warning!! This week’s Tea Leaf is my semi-annual
economic, financial, and political update…using today’s current movie
titles. My sincere apology in advance to anyone I might offend.
The November Elections
With summer’s arrival, we find political supporters of both major parties
working KNIGHT AND DAY. They hope to be victorious on that DATE NIGHT in
early November when the opposition…THE OTHER GUYS (and women)…hopefully
sing THE LAST SONG and are banished FOREVER AFTER from political life. Between
now and then, candidates and their supporters will fight like CATS AND DOGS for
President Obama and Taxes
In the nation’s capital, the SOLITARY MAN and THE A-TEAM will continue to play
the role of ROBIN HOOD. Their tax plans for next year focus on taking from the
rich (higher income tax rates, higher dividend tax rates, higher capital gains tax
rates, plus a few more new taxes)…and, well, you know the rest of the story.
These moves, and other job KILLERS, will continue to emerge from an Administration
too focused on income redistribution, rather than incentives for new income creation.
What A PIECE OF WORK!
Meanwhile, the DEATH AT A FUNERAL tax (the estate tax) will be hotly debated in
coming months. A compromise on the tax rate and the amount exempt from taxation
Democratic Congressional leaders, unnerved by extremely low voter approval
ratings, fear a major voter backlash in November. Perhaps their inability
to act like GROWN UPS when conducting the nation’s business has largely
contributed to this view. Regarding voter frustration, they fear that THE
SECRET IN THEIR EYES could mean THE TWILIGHT SAGA of numerous long-term
The Federal Reserve
The Global Economy
THE SORCERER’S APPRENTICE and the other GREAT DIRECTORS of the Federal
Reserve remain on the sidelines, a position they have maintained for the past
more than 18 months. Ongoing global investor anxiety suggests record low
short-term interest rates could be long in the DOGTOOTH before they begin to
rise modestly, perhaps around mid-2011.
Given the GREECE SING-A-LONG of numerous other countries with highly challenged
national (sovereign) debt levels, the CLASH OF THE TITANS between national
politicians across the globe and global investors will remain front page
news. Anyone with a great idea as to how to solve the sovereign debt
situation? Quick! GET HIM TO THE GREEKs (sorry).
War in Afghanistan
The replacement of Afghan commander General Stanley McCrystal with IRON MAN
2…General David Petraeus…is underway. Here’s wishing
General Petraeus greater success versus the PREDATORS of terror in what has
become America’s longest war (now 104 months), surpassing the previous
103-month record in Vietnam.
BP and the Oil Disaster
Each day finds us more and more fed up with the inability of BP to slow or stop the massive flow of oil into the Gulf of Mexico. We wonder why some effective type of SPLICE can’t be employed to stop the flow.
Gulf residents fear the disaster will be with them over THE SANDS OF TIME. Others also fear the OCEANS and the WILD GRASS will be polluted for years to come. All fear the lack of a viable BACK-UP PLAN if the two relief wells now being drilled don’t provide RESTREPO (relief) as planned in August
BP and its CEO
BP’s embattled CEO Tony Hayward seems to have performed one of THE LAST AIRBENDER(s) of his business career, at least where it concerns the Gulf region. His numerous blunders, weak Congressional testimony, and self-focused remarks placed the company in an even worse light.
His recent return to the United Kingdom to see his fancy yacht in a race seemed to pour SALT in the Gulf wound and was DESPICABLE to many. Perhaps he can now “get his life back” as he wished…something hundreds of thousands of people in the Gulf would appreciate as well.
PLEASE GIVE thought to visiting the unspoiled beaches and inland areas within the Gulf region. These people need our help…and dollars…and EXIT THROUGH THE GIFT SHOP on your way back home.